Posted 2009-September-23, 04:00
1) 4H. I am not making any slam move, so it's just a question of which major to bid. Seems pretty close, 4S could go down losing the HA, a diamond, and 2 ruffs, or 2 diamonds and the HA and a ruff. Also some chance of 5-0 spades. 4H could go down if partners hearts are not that great especially if he gets tapped and hearts are 4-1. However given all of our HCP and their diamond bidding it seems unlikely partner has bad hearts unless he has 6-5 (in which case he could stretch a lot to bid 4C). A lot of the 5-5 hands he would just pass 3D with. I am also not worried about them being able to kill the spades and it be necessary, we have a spade and club entry and possibly the HJ entry.
2) Over 3N I think you should just bid 4N keycard for hearts planning to follow with 5N. It is important for your hand to take control, because if partner shows the CK you can bid 7, and since you have already shown your SK partner can bid 7 when that's all he needs also (after 4N 5N). It is not possible partner doesn't have a diamond control after 3N. If he had no D control and had a club control he would have bid 4C, and if he had no control in either minor he couldn't have a 3H bid and would bid 4H anyways. It is possible he bid 3N with both minor suit controls to avoid preempting you out of a club cuebid.
Obviously you were hoping for 4C-4D-4N, but since you don't need the diamond cuebid from him you risked.
Also the way I play 3H asks for aces first, and if you have no ace but a king you bid 3S (3N shows the spade ace). 3H should be reserved for hands with a specific goal in mind opposite a certain cuebid, and an ace and a king should be able to force to the 5 level opposite that so you can bid in natural order (4C then 4S). Most hands that bid 3H should care whether you have an ace or a king. Not everyone plays this way and bids 3H much more often than me, in which case bidding 1st/2nd round controls equally is probably better.
As for what to do now, I'm not sure. Could partner have AQx AKQTxxx Ax x? Could he have Ax AKQTxxx Ax Kx? I suppose if he has this hand he is supposed to bid 6C asking for third round control. With the SQ, CQ, or DK you will know you have an extra trick so you can bid 7 (and there is no hand you can have where the CQ is better than one of the other cards). How about Ax AKQTxxx AQx x? I guess that is a valid construction and 7 is bad. This also shows why we can't just bid 7 with the CK and nothing else, which means 6C should show the K and not the Q.
If we have complete faith in partner I think we cannot bid 7 with just the CQ extra. If he has the CK 5N was a bad bid.
3) The question is which is more likely 5C making and 4S down, or 4S down and 5C making? When partner has 2 keycards we can make 5C barring a spade ruff, but might go down in 4S. For instance if partner has Kxxxx xxx Axx xx playing in 4S on a heart lead ruffed in dummy is a disaster. When partner has only 1 keycard, it is possible 4S makes and 5C goes down but generally only when partner has 6 spades with good spots and even then it's dicey. The most likely example of 4S making and 5C going down is when partner also has a heart stopper to stop the tap, as well as 6 good spades. They key is our hand cannot stand repeated taps. I would definitely bid 5C.
4) That heart ten and matchpoint scoring are very tempting... Mark me down for 1N because I'm willing to compete to 3D over 2H, and if they don't bid 2H partner is likely to have 4 of them in which case 1N will often score better than 2D I think. The best advantage of 2D is that we can sell out after bidding it since partner is involved in the 3 level decision. We are also better placed if they compete heavily (like if we need to bid 4D over 3H). Maybe this 1N bid is too greedy. I really want 120 lol.
5) This hand is not as great as it looks. We need 2 keycards from partner for starters, and even then we are not close to home (a fifth heart would be a big help though). Asking for a 5th heart and 2 keycards or some spade help + 2 keycards is a lot, and there is no safety at the 5 level if we find out we're missing 2 keycards. Especially as we are likely to get a bad split in trumps. 4H.
6) Finally an easy one. What on earth could you bid but 3C, showing a game forcing hand with hearts and clubs not strong enough to open 2C...perfect!
1♥ (2♦) 2♠ (3♦)
4♣ p ?