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How many spades?

#1 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2009-October-05, 03:05

Scoring: IMP

pass 1 1 2
?

Opponents play a 12-14 notrump, and 1 promised four. In this situation, partner would preempt quite aggressively.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#2 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2009-October-05, 04:24

I would go for 3, this hand won't play so well because of the diamond overruffs but they still rate to make 4 and maybe they'll miss it or partner can bid 4 over it. 2 is milquetoast and 4 is too unilateral (because of the overruffs). If you don't play a mixed raise here 3 is best.

edit: on further consideration even if you played one 3red as a mixed raise it wouldn't make much sense to use it.
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#3 User is offline   OleBerg 

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Posted 2009-October-05, 04:46

3 seems to be the book-bid, but it wouldn't take much of a read on my opponents, to make it 4.
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#4 User is offline   655321 

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Posted 2009-October-05, 05:11

4 for me.

If we bid less than 4, it seems we are hoping for one of 2 things: that partner does our job for us and bids 4 over 4, or we pass 4 out and it doesn't make (and we also can't make 4).

I would much rather force LHO to choose between not showing his heart support, and showing it at the 5 level. Also we have 4 card support, an Ace and a singleton, so 4 will usually be an OK spot anyway.
That's impossible. No one can give more than one hundred percent. By definition that is the most anyone can give.
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#5 User is offline   rhm 

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Posted 2009-October-05, 05:44

4

The hand is worth an invitational raise (not a preemptive raise to 3).
But since I am not going to defend 4 I will accept my own invitation.
Your spade honors are useless in defense.

Most of the time LHO will not have an easy decision if you bid 4 immediately.
He is unlikely to have tricks

Bidding anything less and then 4 over 4 will make double easy when this is best for the opponents.

Raising and then passing 4 is even worse in the long run.

Rainer Herrmann
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#6 User is offline   andy_h 

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Posted 2009-October-05, 06:53

Agree with 4. 4 could easily make with their heart honours onside and diamonds dropping so letting LHO guess to bid at the 5 level or not seems like good prospects.
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#7 User is offline   billw55 

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Posted 2009-October-05, 06:57

Also 4. As for overruffs, north can count diamonds too, and ruff high in his hand. It's nice to have strong trumps in dummy B)
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#8 User is offline   fachiru 

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Posted 2009-October-05, 07:58

I feel 4 is more likely to go down 1 than to make or go down more.
Anything can happen, but I don't think 3 will buy it now, so I'll offer 200 to opps. now and leave them the last guess: take it or go for more?
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#9 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2009-October-05, 08:02

Certainly we have too much for 3, a mixed raise with 3 sounds apropiate if agreed.

with no agreements I join the crowd that thikns that this hands fits very well that deserves to play 4
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#10 User is offline   pooltuna 

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Posted 2009-October-05, 08:27

gnasher, on Oct 5 2009, 04:05 AM, said:

Scoring: IMP

pass 1 1 2
?

Opponents play a 12-14 notrump, and 1 promised four. In this situation, partner would preempt quite aggressively.

Make whatever call you use for a limit raise of
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#11 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2009-October-05, 09:42

Certainly too good for 3 and for me clearly too good for a mixed raise. I could cuebid, but I think 4 now is a good bid.
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#12 User is offline   hanp 

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Posted 2009-October-05, 10:06

Agree that the hand is worth a limit raise but that 4S is a better bid.
and the result can be plotted on a graph.
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#13 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2009-October-05, 10:10

The possibilities are:

- 3 (mixed)
- 4 (splinter)
- 4.

I would delusioned if I thought we were buying this for 3, so a mixed (or limit) raise is out.

I don't have a strong preference between 4 and 4, but 4 might lead to a successful 5 across from a 6214.

There's an excellent chance LHO has a strong NT here, judging from our diamond length.
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#14 User is offline   hanp 

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Posted 2009-October-05, 10:14

That's two people mentioning a mixed raise!?!
and the result can be plotted on a graph.
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#15 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2009-October-05, 10:17

Phil, on Oct 5 2009, 11:10 AM, said:

I don't have a strong preference between 4 and 4, but 4 might lead to a successful 5 across from a 6214.

Since it shows a (way) better hand, it might also lead to an unsuccessful blackwood bid. Semi-preemptive splinters would potentially be a very useful agreement on this hand but unfortunately I don't play them.
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#16 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2009-October-05, 10:22

hanp, on Oct 5 2009, 11:14 AM, said:

That's two people mentioning a mixed raise!?!

Oh c'mon HanP a MR is not that far off. Certainly it would be clear with a 4243.
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#17 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2009-October-05, 10:37

Phil, on Oct 5 2009, 11:22 AM, said:

hanp, on Oct 5 2009, 11:14 AM, said:

That's two people mentioning a mixed raise!?!

Oh c'mon HanP a MR is not that far off. Certainly it would be clear with a 4243.

If the hand was 4243 and you mentioned a splinter and han mocked it, would you say oh come on it's not that far off? :)
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#18 User is offline   neilkaz 

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Posted 2009-October-05, 10:39

I will bid 4 here. Maybe it makes, more likely it doesn't IMO, but the opps don't know that and I almost certainly think that they can make 4 and no way will I let them play it.

4 now and let the opps make the last guess and if opener wants to show his support he can now do so at the 5 level.

I don't care for any monkeying around with bids trying to show a mixed raise or splinter or whatever since these allow opener to show PD his support by doubling.
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#19 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2009-October-06, 01:54

I think Andy asked to make the majority feel good with their 4 bid.
I want to feel good too and my opps will feel the pressure.
Kind Regards

Roland


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More system is not the answer...
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#20 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2009-October-06, 02:18

In fact I asked because at the table I made a pathetic 3 bid, and I was hoping that the responses here would make me feel better about it. Oh well.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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