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guessing spades
#1
Posted 2012-June-14, 17:22
♠AQJ63
♥K5
♦73
♣J1074
♠5
♥Q764
♦A2
♣AK8753
playing 6♣, all the 5 tables I saw, received ♦K as lead, and all of them guessed spades correctly I supose because they all made 6♣, do I miss something or was there one way clearly better than the other to play it? if it matters RHO has ♣Qx, LHO singleton.
♥K5
♦73
♣J1074
♠5
♥Q764
♦A2
♣AK8753
playing 6♣, all the 5 tables I saw, received ♦K as lead, and all of them guessed spades correctly I supose because they all made 6♣, do I miss something or was there one way clearly better than the other to play it? if it matters RHO has ♣Qx, LHO singleton.
#2
Posted 2012-June-14, 17:52
looks like spade to the queen. If RHO has the king and we play ace then queen king ruff, we have to cross in clubs and pitch a diamond on our spade. That leaves:
xx
Kx
x
J
---
Qxxx
---
xx
If spades do not split we will go down from here anyways.
xx
Kx
x
J
---
Qxxx
---
xx
If spades do not split we will go down from here anyways.
blogging at http://www.justinlall.com
#3
Posted 2012-June-15, 21:36
Fluffy, on 2012-June-14, 17:22, said:
if it matters RHO has ♣Qx, LHO singleton.
Of course it matters, see the reply above.
I think reading the reply above will make a lot of people gain something valuable. This is why i replied, to bump the topic.
"Genius has its own limitations, however stupidity has no such boundaries!"
"It's only when a mosquito lands on your testicles that you realize there is always a way to solve problems without using violence!"
"Well to be perfectly honest, in my humble opinion, of course without offending anyone who thinks differently from my point of view, but also by looking into this matter in a different perspective and without being condemning of one's view's and by trying to make it objectified, and by considering each and every one's valid opinion, I honestly believe that I completely forgot what I was going to say."
"It's only when a mosquito lands on your testicles that you realize there is always a way to solve problems without using violence!"
"Well to be perfectly honest, in my humble opinion, of course without offending anyone who thinks differently from my point of view, but also by looking into this matter in a different perspective and without being condemning of one's view's and by trying to make it objectified, and by considering each and every one's valid opinion, I honestly believe that I completely forgot what I was going to say."
#4
Posted 2012-June-15, 23:23
If the Q appears on the first round of clubs, you can play ♠A, ♠ ruff high, ♣ to J, run ♠Q.
If someone drops the Q from Qx causing you to misguess spades, find an easier game
If someone drops the Q from Qx causing you to misguess spades, find an easier game

#5
Posted 2012-June-16, 02:54
I think it depends on the bidding.
Suppose that West passed over a 1♣ opening, non-vulnerable. With ♦KQxxx and ♠K he would probably have overcalled; with ♦KQ, ♠K, ♥A and a singleton club he would definitely have acted. Furthermore, his pass makes a 5-2 spade break less likely - with 10 cards in the red suits he would probably have bid, and 109xxx Axx KQxx x is a 1♠ overcall. Hence in that situation I'd take the ruffing finesse.
Suppose that West passed over a 1♣ opening, non-vulnerable. With ♦KQxxx and ♠K he would probably have overcalled; with ♦KQ, ♠K, ♥A and a singleton club he would definitely have acted. Furthermore, his pass makes a 5-2 spade break less likely - with 10 cards in the red suits he would probably have bid, and 109xxx Axx KQxx x is a 1♠ overcall. Hence in that situation I'd take the ruffing finesse.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
#6
Posted 2012-June-16, 13:42
maybe the bidding mattered, LHO had ♠xxx ♥A109xx ♦KQxx ♣x and someone found a bid over a 2/1 response. I thoguh I would always play low to queen in spades so this really amazed me.
A comentator in vugraph said something about ♦KQ being 2 known cards affecting vacant spaces but that sound like nonsense to me.
A comentator in vugraph said something about ♦KQ being 2 known cards affecting vacant spaces but that sound like nonsense to me.
#7
Posted 2012-June-16, 13:57
Fluffy, on 2012-June-16, 13:42, said:
maybe the bidding mattered, LHO had ♠xxx ♥A109xx ♦KQxx ♣x and someone found a bid over a 2/1 response. I thoguh I would always play low to queen in spades so this really amazed me.
A comentator in vugraph said something about ♦KQ being 2 known cards affecting vacant spaces but that sound like nonsense to me.
A comentator in vugraph said something about ♦KQ being 2 known cards affecting vacant spaces but that sound like nonsense to me.
Just curious, why is the known location of some of the high card collection nonsense. May be the wrong way to tackle the hand, but implies east is more likely to hold the spade king does it not.
#9
Posted 2012-June-16, 15:58
It sounds like 50% nonsense to me. Any diamond that he leads tells us that he was dealt that card, but that is balanced by knowing that RHO was dealt whatever diamond he plays to trick one.
♦K lead tells us, in addition, that he has ♦Q. However, trumps were 1=2, so at most that just makes the vacant spaces even. I'm not sure if it even does that - most diamond leads would give us an indication about some other diamond card, so we should treat this information with suspiscion.
♦K lead tells us, in addition, that he has ♦Q. However, trumps were 1=2, so at most that just makes the vacant spaces even. I'm not sure if it even does that - most diamond leads would give us an indication about some other diamond card, so we should treat this information with suspiscion.
This post has been edited by gnasher: 2012-June-16, 16:01
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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