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guessing spades

#1 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2012-June-14, 17:22

AQJ63
K5
73
J1074

5
Q764
A2
AK8753


playing 6, all the 5 tables I saw, received K as lead, and all of them guessed spades correctly I supose because they all made 6, do I miss something or was there one way clearly better than the other to play it? if it matters RHO has Qx, LHO singleton.
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#2 User is offline   JLOGIC 

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Posted 2012-June-14, 17:52

looks like spade to the queen. If RHO has the king and we play ace then queen king ruff, we have to cross in clubs and pitch a diamond on our spade. That leaves:

xx
Kx
x
J

---
Qxxx
---
xx

If spades do not split we will go down from here anyways.
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#3 User is offline   MrAce 

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Posted 2012-June-15, 21:36

View PostFluffy, on 2012-June-14, 17:22, said:

if it matters RHO has Qx, LHO singleton.


Of course it matters, see the reply above.

I think reading the reply above will make a lot of people gain something valuable. This is why i replied, to bump the topic.
"Genius has its own limitations, however stupidity has no such boundaries!"
"It's only when a mosquito lands on your testicles that you realize there is always a way to solve problems without using violence!"

"Well to be perfectly honest, in my humble opinion, of course without offending anyone who thinks differently from my point of view, but also by looking into this matter in a different perspective and without being condemning of one's view's and by trying to make it objectified, and by considering each and every one's valid opinion, I honestly believe that I completely forgot what I was going to say."





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#4 User is offline   twoshy 

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Posted 2012-June-15, 23:23

If the Q appears on the first round of clubs, you can play A, ruff high, to J, run Q.

If someone drops the Q from Qx causing you to misguess spades, find an easier game :)
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#5 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2012-June-16, 02:54

I think it depends on the bidding.

Suppose that West passed over a 1 opening, non-vulnerable. With KQxxx and K he would probably have overcalled; with KQ, K, A and a singleton club he would definitely have acted. Furthermore, his pass makes a 5-2 spade break less likely - with 10 cards in the red suits he would probably have bid, and 109xxx Axx KQxx x is a 1 overcall. Hence in that situation I'd take the ruffing finesse.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#6 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2012-June-16, 13:42

maybe the bidding mattered, LHO had xxx A109xx KQxx x and someone found a bid over a 2/1 response. I thoguh I would always play low to queen in spades so this really amazed me.

A comentator in vugraph said something about KQ being 2 known cards affecting vacant spaces but that sound like nonsense to me.
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#7 User is offline   AlexJonson 

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Posted 2012-June-16, 13:57

View PostFluffy, on 2012-June-16, 13:42, said:

maybe the bidding mattered, LHO had xxx A109xx KQxx x and someone found a bid over a 2/1 response. I thoguh I would always play low to queen in spades so this really amazed me.

A comentator in vugraph said something about KQ being 2 known cards affecting vacant spaces but that sound like nonsense to me.


Just curious, why is the known location of some of the high card collection nonsense. May be the wrong way to tackle the hand, but implies east is more likely to hold the spade king does it not.
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#8 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2012-June-16, 15:04

I didn't say it is nonsense, just that it sounds like nonsense to me.
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#9 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2012-June-16, 15:58

It sounds like 50% nonsense to me. Any diamond that he leads tells us that he was dealt that card, but that is balanced by knowing that RHO was dealt whatever diamond he plays to trick one.

K lead tells us, in addition, that he has Q. However, trumps were 1=2, so at most that just makes the vacant spaces even. I'm not sure if it even does that - most diamond leads would give us an indication about some other diamond card, so we should treat this information with suspiscion.

This post has been edited by gnasher: 2012-June-16, 16:01

... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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