Posted 2012-June-13, 22:59
Pass. I don't think it's close unless you play X is penalty (I'd still pass, but I don't hate making a penalty double here).
I have 3 (maybe) sure tricks, and if partner has Jxx of hearts, then that could easily be a trick (if declarer has AKT9xxxx or misguesses the finesse) or a trick in diamonds or clubs--he doesn't need much.
It's nearly certain that we can't make anything, but the sacrifice could easily be a phantom one.
If partner balances here with a double...then I'd probably bid 4S, but could likely be convinced that passing is correct.
Bridge Personality: 44 44 43 34
Never tell the same lie twice. - Elim Garek on the real moral of "The boy who cried wolf"