5-level decision
#1
Posted 2013-April-05, 07:21
JTxx Jxxx AKxx x
What's your bid?
We play negative doubles at this level, but would double as spade support be better? I.e. I would have bid 4S and do we take the push or not? Seems like this comes up a lot more than "Do we have a heart fit pd?"
#2
Posted 2013-April-05, 08:07
-gwnn
#3
Posted 2013-April-05, 08:58
#4
Posted 2013-April-05, 09:14
As for how many tricks we will make, probably somewhere between 9 and 13. Really, there is no way of knowing. But I would expect that 5♠ is the best guess available.
The operative word is guess.
Even if you play this double as "negative," at this level it will be left in much of the time. Holding JTxx of spades I would never make a double which could be passed. Partner will expect no more than two spades in my hand for my double.
Double could be the winning call, but I will bet against it.
#5
Posted 2013-April-05, 09:33
I don't know any good player who would think that a negative double of 5♣ showed 4 hearts. It shows that we own the hand, and partner will usually pass but should bid with extra shape: it says we have the values to make it very unlikely that they can make their contract, but the values would support our making something if opener has unusual shape.
So much for terminology: we still have to decide what to do.
I bid 5♠: doubling puts way too much pressure on partner who should never play us for primary support.
Partner shouldn't even think of pulling with say AKxxxx Axx QJx x, a layout on which a double game swing is possible given the red v white 5 level call.
#6
Posted 2013-April-05, 14:08
#7
Posted 2013-April-05, 14:46
#8
Posted 2013-April-05, 15:51
fromageGB, on 2013-April-05, 14:46, said:
Would you not have made a limit raise?
And if for some reason you were forced to choose between an auction-ending 2♠ or an overbid 4♠ wouldn't you choose 4♠?
I'm a conservative bidder and I don't think it's close.
#9
Posted 2013-April-05, 16:29
mikeh, on 2013-April-05, 15:51, said:
And if for some reason you were forced to choose between an auction-ending 2♠ or an overbid 4♠ wouldn't you choose 4♠?
I'm a conservative bidder and I don't think it's close.
Maybe I'm more conservative than you, because unopposed this is not a limit raise for me, but 4♣ splinter. Yes, 4♠ rather than 2♠, as it surely has good chances, but with a 5♣ interference, vulnerable, I think 5♠ unlikely. 3 tricks in defence seems to me more likely, but it is just guesswork, as ArtK78 says. We just come down on opposite sides of the coin.
#10
Posted 2013-April-05, 17:45
straube, on 2013-April-05, 07:21, said:
-Stop playing negative doubles at 5 level unless one of them bid and other one raised.
-And do not even think about playing trump support doubles, this is even worse.
-Accept the fact that against preempts there is no magical cure, especially very heavy preempts such as bids that brings the auction from 1 level to 5 level immediately. Do not play the double as penalty either. I dunno how yoy define the negative and penalty doubles, to me negative doubles means negative and penalty double means you want to play their contract doubled. Card showing double or whatever you want to name it, is what makes the use of DBL at this level most effective and flexible imho. Pd sits on it unless he has a very good reason not to.
Most people don't like this because this requires some good hand evaluation and/or judgement, instead of blindly passing if they agreed it to be a penalty double or taking it out if they agreed it to be a take out double. But the matter of the fact is, after heavy preempts like this, pd will hold a lot of hands, much more frequent hands than which are pure take out or pure penalty double hands and also too strong to pass, imho.
Having said what i believe about the doubles at this level, letme anwer your questions
1-With the agreements you provided, i would talk myself into bidding 5♠. If double showed values i might have choosen double, and bid with very offensive hands at this level. This hand is offensive but i am not sure if it is offensive enough to bid at 5 level. I can not disagree with 5♠ either way.
2-Double should promise nothing but values at this level imho, you do not need to put the name "negative" just to make sure pd knows you are not doubling with ♣ stack or tricks. We should bid with very offensive hands, double with values, and pass with hands that we would normally take action at lower levels and accept that preempts makes life harder.
"It's only when a mosquito lands on your testicles that you realize there is always a way to solve problems without using violence!"
"Well to be perfectly honest, in my humble opinion, of course without offending anyone who thinks differently from my point of view, but also by looking into this matter in a different perspective and without being condemning of one's view's and by trying to make it objectified, and by considering each and every one's valid opinion, I honestly believe that I completely forgot what I was going to say."
#11
Posted 2013-April-05, 18:20
#12
Posted 2013-April-05, 20:44
straube, on 2013-April-05, 18:20, said:
Well then your terminology is confusing to me. I voted pass, because I wouldn't make a negative double. But I would make a double the way you describe it.
#13
Posted 2013-April-06, 05:18
straube, on 2013-April-05, 18:20, said:
I am not entirely convinced this makes sense, though as you say it appears popular. So double is values, and declarer leaves it in unless he has extreme distribution. I agree with this, though I call it a penalty double, and this is what I would do with this hand. In my book, a penalty double simply says "I think they are going off if you have a normal sort of hand, and prefer to try for that rather than make a contract".
But you also say that if you have a penalty double, you pass. Why? What do you call a penalty double? If you have sufficient tricks to make it likely that the 5♣ bidder goes down, then pass seems wrong. If you have such a hand, and partner with extreme distribution takes it out, then he is likely to make the contract.
If you are suggesting a penalty double would he nothing except ♣ KJ987 (with no entries or useful tricks for a possible partner's contract) then fair enough, but that is an extremely unlikely scenario given the vulnerable 5 level preempt.
#14
Posted 2013-April-06, 08:44
i've got a lot of losers to cover in 5♠ if we're talking about making it
i expect my ak of diamonds to be adequate for defeating 5♣ - diamonds is the suit declarer's least likely to be short of.
if partner bids i'll be surprised but delighted.
#15
Posted 2013-April-06, 09:37
mikeh, on 2013-April-05, 09:33, said:
Man up. Anything else is a transfer of responsibility and I would rather take a stand to win the hand instead of the post mortem.
This hand has way too much offense and with slightly nutzo distribution (seems indicated) we may be cold for slam. If we have a double fit in the pointed suits double could bury us.
What is baby oil made of?
#16
Posted 2013-April-06, 10:03
fromageGB, on 2013-April-06, 05:18, said:
But you also say that if you have a penalty double, you pass. Why? What do you call a penalty double? If you have sufficient tricks to make it likely that the 5♣ bidder goes down, then pass seems wrong. If you have such a hand, and partner with extreme distribution takes it out, then he is likely to make the contract.
If you are suggesting a penalty double would he nothing except ♣ KJ987 (with no entries or useful tricks for a possible partner's contract) then fair enough, but that is an extremely unlikely scenario given the vulnerable 5 level preempt.
I think this is a matter of opinion and judgment. As you say, KJ987 is an unlikely holding, but how about more likely hands such as xx Kx Axxxxx Kxx or xxx Ax Kxxx QJxx? He wants to play against clubs, hopefully with a kiss, but better undoubled than taking the bid and going set. Sure, 5 of something could be making our way but I would think it more likely they are going down than we are making anything. Opener is a limited hand, too, and he could have opened 4 of his major but didn't. If opener is very very distributional (like a 6/6 hand) he's going to bid his second suit regardless of our pass. But doubling with these hands empowers partner a little bit more to bid than I think I'd like.
Now some may quibble with the example hands I gave and say that they'd do differently with these, but I'm just trying to make the point that Pass is most discouraging for partner to take the bid, double is more flexible and allows partner to bid with extra shape (say a 6/5 or a good 5/5 or a 7-cd suit) and bidding shows a strong preference for trump.
Btw, we made our contract after pd chose 5S. It took a bit of luck. The full deal was....
...............JT64
...............J873
...............AK97
...............6
5.......................Q72
A9.....................T64
T4.....................Q865
AKJT9543..........Q72
...............AK983
...............KQ52
...............J32
...............8
#17
Posted 2013-April-06, 11:05
IMO, 5S is a reasonable position to take and double is the stodgy, unmanly card-showing call I would choose. The actual result at IMPs favorable is +500 vs (maybe) +450. The defense to 5C is more trivial than the declarer play at 5S. But resulting aside, I think at favorable the double is better. Pard will pull with serious shape.
#18
Posted 2013-April-06, 13:46
#19
Posted 2013-April-06, 14:23
ArtK78, on 2013-April-06, 13:46, said:
I think he said with luck....i.e. help from the opps.