Draw a line in the sand
#2
Posted 2015-January-05, 04:12
lmilne, on 2015-January-05, 04:05, said:
In the past, this would have been a clear-cut pass for me. Our agreements were that immediate actions over a pre-empt were sound. I would worry that even when 4♥ was the right contract, partner would assume a better hand and we'd get too high. Recently, however, BBF experts have convinced me that you have to act aggressively -- especially with a 6-card major suit -- and shortage in opponent's pre-empt suit. Partner should be aware that you might be in such a predicament, and he must tread carefully.
#4
Posted 2015-January-05, 04:49
Easy 4♥ for me.
#6
Posted 2015-January-05, 07:49
they could not bid.
4h
with this sound suit is easy. the problem might have been more
entertaining with void 876543 AQxx KQx:)))))))))))))))))))))))
#7
Posted 2015-January-05, 07:59
gszes, on 2015-January-05, 07:49, said:
they could not bid.
4h
It looks to me like opener's partner has not yet called. We are in the direct overcall seat, not balancing.
Anyway, yes I still bid 4♥, at any scoring.
-gwnn
#9
Posted 2015-January-05, 10:06
For me, in the OP configuration, this is an easy 4♥. Of course, I'd prefer K10xx in clubs, or A10xx etc. However, the fact that it is a minimum doesn't make it a close decision.
For me, 10xxx in clubs would make this an easy pass.
J10xx, now that's the tough one, from my p.o.v.
#10
Posted 2015-January-05, 10:19
"It's only when a mosquito lands on your testicles that you realize there is always a way to solve problems without using violence!"
"Well to be perfectly honest, in my humble opinion, of course without offending anyone who thinks differently from my point of view, but also by looking into this matter in a different perspective and without being condemning of one's view's and by trying to make it objectified, and by considering each and every one's valid opinion, I honestly believe that I completely forgot what I was going to say."
#11
Posted 2015-January-05, 11:04
-- Bertrand Russell
#13
Posted 2015-January-05, 12:47
rogerclee, on 2015-January-05, 12:42, said:
there is a definite correlation between age and aggression That isn't to say that you are wrong, but it is to say that I'm too old to bid like that.
#14
Posted 2015-January-05, 13:47
#15
Posted 2015-January-05, 15:19
I cannot imagine passing.
Winner - BBO Challenge bracket #6 - February, 2017.
#16
Posted 2015-January-05, 16:20
mikeh, on 2015-January-05, 12:47, said:
To be honest I don't feel like my example hand is a particularly good 4H bid, just that to me, that is somewhere around my "line in the sand". Passing with 16(42) is ridiculous to me.
A good rule of thumb is that if you can make game opposite a reasonably fitting weak NT, then you should bid. Hands like Jxx xx AQxx KQxx are just so normal, yet 4H is a great contract, and even when 4H is down, it usually means 3S was making. Tthey will take insurance really often in 4S also (maybe too often), which is fine with us, since my partner's cards are over theirs.
The downside of course is that after 3S 4H 4S, partner will be doubling quite a bit too often, and if he is stretching for 5H, it's probably wrong. Once in a blue moon we will have to eat 4SXX. I can live with all this in exchange for getting to a making game opposite a random 12 count that would not even consider balancing.
#17
Posted 2015-January-05, 17:21
rogerclee, on 2015-January-05, 16:20, said:
A good rule of thumb is that if you can make game opposite a reasonably fitting weak NT, then you should bid. Hands like Jxx xx AQxx KQxx are just so normal, yet 4H is a great contract, and even when 4H is down, it usually means 3S was making. Tthey will take insurance really often in 4S also (maybe too often), which is fine with us, since my partner's cards are over theirs.
The downside of course is that after 3S 4H 4S, partner will be doubling quite a bit too often, and if he is stretching for 5H, it's probably wrong. Once in a blue moon we will have to eat 4SXX. I can live with all this in exchange for getting to a making game opposite a random 12 count that would not even consider balancing.
There is the risk of 4♥ going for a number. I don't count that as huge, since if we are going for a number, most of the time they are bidding and making game, but it is a risk, especially since they'll double rather than bid their own game usually with short spades, making their chances of reaching/making game somewhat less. As for the rest of your reasoning, I don't argue against you at all. It is merely a question of how we individually assess probabilities. For me, overcalling on AKQ10xx and a side xxxx is just a tad more uncomfortable than the notion of passing....neither choice makes me happy. AKQ10xx and xxx xxx makes me far more uncomfortable bidding than passing but that isn't to say that I am happy to pass.
#18
Posted 2015-January-06, 11:23
billw55, on 2015-January-05, 07:59, said:
Anyway, yes I still bid 4♥, at any scoring.
It would seem I have entered into a new phase in life---prediction---hmmm let's carefully review my
past succeses with prediction (0% eh) OK no more prediction 4H direct seat even if 1633. It is just
plain not easy to x w/o trump tricks and lho will have a heart stack rarely:)
#20
Posted 2015-January-07, 03:14
This problem seems to divide people.