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camrose disaster 1 partner likes the splinter, but...

#21 User is online   smerriman 

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Posted 2018-October-15, 16:36

Ah, of course. Was thinking when you said opener was hoping for a heart cue, that meant he'd bid slam on one - but of course, 5 is still an option.

I can tell you know what you're talking about - I enjoy your posts :) (That's why I had to double check my figures 4 times before correcting you in that card combination thread!)

OK, enough from me, I'm looking forward to seeing what the actual disaster turned out to be in the original hand..
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#22 User is offline   nullve 

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Posted 2018-October-15, 17:50

View Postmikeh, on 2018-October-15, 14:22, said:

I mentioned in my first post that I thought it to be an error for posters to try to picture opener's hand due to the failure to use keycard. I thought I'd add some expansion about that. Note that there are other hand-types, beyond a heart void or stiff Ace, wherein keycard would be useless while cuebidding might be helpful. Opener might, for example, hold Ax in hearts and be hoping at some point to pry a heart cue out of responder......KJxxxx Ax xxx AQx hoping to catch us with Axxx Kxx x Kxx rather than AQxx QJx x Kxx Try using keycard to tell the difference such that one stops in 5 opposite the 'stronger' hand and reaches slam opposite the 'weaker' hand.

And if Responder has 13 cards and a fourth club, do you still want to stop in 5 opposite the weaker hand?
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#23 User is offline   lamford 

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Posted 2018-October-15, 18:02

I would certainly be bidding slam here. Something like KJxxx none xxx AQxxx is enough, and I don't think partner has less than that. He could easily have Kxxxx none Axx AQxxx when grand is good. I would bid 6C, showing what could be a valuable card, as 6S is just a bit lazy.
I prefer to give the lawmakers credit for stating things for a reason - barmar
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#24 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2018-October-15, 18:31

View Postnullve, on 2018-October-15, 17:50, said:

And if Responder has 13 cards and a fourth club, do you still want to stop in 5 opposite the weaker hand?


I think you miss my point. I did not claim that cuebidding is infallible. It merely, on some hands, gives one a better chance of bidding accurately, because it involves both players in the sharing and valuation of information, as opposed to the robotic question and answer of keycard. Note that there will be hands where keycard is actually the better option. Good players choose their tools according the demands and challenges of their holdings and the auction, but I know of no method that works on every layout. Even relay has weaknesses.

Obviously if the hands were KJxxx Ax xxx AQx opposite Axxxx QJx x Kxxx, I'd like my chances of 4 club tricks or dropping the stiff heart king, and would hope to avoid a spade loser. But I'd probably miss this slam, whether I used keycard or cuebidding.
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari
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#25 User is offline   Dinarius 

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Posted 2018-October-16, 13:38

My thought is: where are all my hearts going? Ruffs using partner’s probable void? Maybe. But, after a trump lead, or a 3/0 trump split?

Does the bidding clarify what partner’s second suit is, if indeed he has one - e.g. 6/0/4/3?

Partner has opened and only reacted thereafter to my splinter.

Seems to me the hand has lots of possible hiccoughs - ♠️K?

I’m not convinced. Dead curious to know partner’s hand!

D.
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#26 User is offline   rmnka447 

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Posted 2018-October-16, 16:28

View PostDinarius, on 2018-October-16, 13:38, said:

My thought is: where are all my hearts going? Ruffs using partner’s probable void? Maybe. But, after a trump lead, or a 3/0 trump split?

Does the bidding clarify what partner’s second suit is, if indeed he has one - e.g. 6/0/4/3?

Partner has opened and only reacted thereafter to my splinter.

Seems to me the hand has lots of possible hiccoughs - ♠️K?

I’m not convinced. Dead curious to know partner’s hand!

D.


I think it would be hard to put together a hand where opener would explore for slam and continue exploring for slam after a signoff missing AKQ of trumps. Even holding KJ10xx(x..), which is the best holding opener can have, there's no way for opener to know if there's a trump loser or not. Well, maybe, if opener is holding 7 or 8 trumps and a lot of cards outside knowing there can't be more than 1 trump loser because responder must have 4+ trumps. Once responder "signs off" with 4 , opener has to consider whether continued slam exploration and sign off in 5 is too risky. Voluntarily bidding past game and going down in 5 is pitching a game swing at IMPs unless most everyone else is also doing it. Without certainty about the trump suit, opener shouldn't bid on without some sense that there's a fairly good probability of no more than 1 loser outside of trump.

As for the existence of a void in opener's hand, positing such a holding is really breaking a cardinal rule of good bidding "Never put cards into partner's hand unless bridge logic tells you they are there." However if there is a void, it would seem much more likely to be in , because a void would mean the opponents hold 11 and haven't made a peep.

It's been interesting to see some of the minimal hands that allow slam to be made. IMO, opener needs quite a bit more to push for slam beyond the 4 signoff as responder's splinter is limited to something like 11-15 value and is not likely to have that many cards to cover opener's losers. With responder's shortness in one side suit defined, responder is likely to have length in the other side suits, so opener's holdings in those suits becomes critical.

Also, I agree with virtually all mikeh has pointed out.
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#27 User is offline   Dinarius 

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Posted 2018-October-17, 02:43

Never put cards into partner’s hand...?

Of course not. But, given East’s double, if opener doesn’t have a heart void (& yes, of course he doesn’t have a Club void!) the slam hasn’t a prayer, in my view. And if opener holds singleton Heart Ace, that doesn’t bode well either. A wasted four points.

Just about the only plus I can see is that AQ Spades are over the double, so missing Spade K might it be so bad. East may be doubling partly in the hope that his possible Kx Spades is a trick over opener.

With still no obvious second suit in opener’s hand - particularly so given the TO double and its implications - this slam needs a following wind to make, in my view. The double also implies that you only have 2/3 of the high cards, not fatal, but it means that a second suit in opener’s hand is even more necessary.

Having said that, it’s probably cold! ;)

D.
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#28 User is offline   rhm 

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Posted 2018-October-17, 04:49

View Postmanudude03, on 2018-October-14, 16:56, said:

splinter is 9-13, 4H was a cuebid (not last train).

What would you bid now with a heart control?
The answer is obvious. You would bid 5.
It follows that when you don't do this your points must be in the black suits.
Just bid 5 and an intelligent partner can bid the slam. He knows you have nothing to cuebid in the red suits.
Optimism on your part is unjustified since partner can not even discard heart losers on expected club length in dummy.

View Postrmnka447, on 2018-October-14, 17:10, said:

Partner also made a further move toward slam after you didn't show any interest in slam.

So 4 was a game try?

View Postlamford, on 2018-October-15, 18:02, said:

I would certainly be bidding slam here. Something like KJxxx none xxx AQxxx is enough, and I don't think partner has less than that. He could easily have Kxxxx none Axx AQxxx when grand is good. I would bid 6C, showing what could be a valuable card, as 6S is just a bit lazy.

And what would you do with these hands if partner bids 5?
Where are partners points for a slam invite? Does the failure to control bid a red suit over 5 not mark your hand with the ace of spades and the king of clubs?
Only a weak player would consider passing 5 with either of these hands.

View Postmikeh, on 2018-October-15, 14:22, said:

I find it a bit strange that so many posters are reading inferences into partner's failure to use keycard: it suggests that these players don't understand the limitations of keycard or the benefits of cue-bidding.

Keycard is not the old Blackwood. Standard is you start cue-bidding first or second round controls and then end up checking whether sufficient keycards are on board.
When partner apparently knows that all side suits are under control and you hold ace and queen of trumps and partner does not use key-card this is significant and one inference is that partner should know about a ten card fit.
Either partner has a void in hearts, in which case your failure to control bid heart will encourage him, or more likely partner has Kxxxxx in spades and your queen of spades is not needed for slam.
What you are left with are 8 HCP.
If partner can not bid slam over 5 forget it.
A possible hand for partner KJTxxx Kx Axx Ax, where a heart honor instead of one of your spade honors in your hand would make slam good.

Rainer Herrmann
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#29 User is offline   rhm 

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Posted 2018-October-17, 06:03

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#30 User is offline   rhm 

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Posted 2018-October-17, 06:03

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#31 User is offline   wank 

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Posted 2018-October-17, 10:55

we couldn't have a better hand. i'd bid 6c, just in case 7's on.
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#32 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2018-October-17, 11:12

View Postrhm, on 2018-October-17, 04:49, said:

What would you bid now with a heart control?
The answer is obvious. You would bid 5.
It follows that when you don't do this your points must be in the black suits.
Just bid 5 and an intelligent partner can bid the slam. He knows you have nothing to cuebid in the red suits.
Optimism on your part is unjustified since partner can not even discard heart losers on expected club length in dummy.


So 4 was a game try?


And what would you do with these hands if partner bids 5?
Where are partners points for a slam invite? Does your failure to control bid a red suit not mark your hand with the ace of spades and the king of clubs?
Only a weak player would consider passing 5 with either of these hands.


Keycard is not the old Blackwood. Standard is you start cue-bidding first or second round controls and then end up checking whether sufficient keycards are on board.
When partner apparently knows that all side suits are under control and you hold ace and queen of trumps and partner does not use key-card this is significant and one inference is that partner should know about a ten card fit.
Either partner has a void in hearts, in which case your failure to control bid heart will encourage him, or more likely partner has Kxxxxx in spades and your queen of spades is not needed for slam.
What you are left with are 8 HCP.
If partner can not bid slam over 5 forget it.
A possible hand for partner KJTxxx Kx Axx Ax, where a heart honor instead of one of your spade honors in your hand would make slam good.

Rainer Herrmann

Hi Rainer

I always read your comments with appreciation. However, I think you are looking at this the wrong way. We can all conjure up hands that we think are consistent with the auction, and of course I did as well in my earlier posts. However, and I certainly know this to be true of me, I think we tend to picture hands that reflect our view of what we want to do. If we don't want to move towards slam, we picture hands where signing off works. If we want to move towards slam, we picture hands where at least small slam works.

That's why I prefer, in these situations and indeed any situation in which partner is asking us what we think of our hand, to see this as a conversation. In terms of what we 'could have', I see your point about the spade Q being of limited value, but we have extra ruffing values. He thinks he is ruffing diamonds in dummy. It is unusual for us to have a side doubleton after we splinter....if only because at least some of the time that we do, we'd be making a fit-jump...obviously not on a Jxxxx suit.

So that Kx, coupled with the extra trump, is a wonderful holding, and viewing this hand as 'still don't like it' seems to me to be very, very pessimistic.

Yes, my call of 6 may get us to an unmakeable slam, but your construction of KJ10xxx Kx Axx Ax is a pretty carefully crafted layout. Besides, I have failed in slams before, and will fail in slams in the future...but I won't be hearing from partner 'what did I have to do to get you to like your hand?' when he has bid this way on KJxxxx x Axx Axx, where he can't risk slam in case I hold something like AQxx KQxx x Jxxx, and they lead the humourless club K.

See how I was so able to find a hand on which you will miss slam and I won't?
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari
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#33 User is offline   nullve 

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Posted 2018-October-17, 12:10

View Postrmnka447, on 2018-October-16, 16:28, said:

"Never put cards into partner's hand unless bridge logic tells you they are there."

Really?


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