ochinko, on Jul 3 2007, 05:51 PM, said:
1. You seem to forget the fact that the advancer is forced to bid on the first round, so 1♠ could be bid with only three spades when there is no better bid. This makes it impossible for the doubler to distinguish between 3 and 4 cards support if you want 2♠ to show 5. So 2♠ from the doubler don't actually agree any fit.
2. Preempt is when you bid without high cards strength. 2♠ is no preempt if it promises 8 points. You, on the other hand preempt yourself with your example bidding:
1♥-X-P-1♠-
???-2♠-P-???
You would do that as a doubler with what, 16-17 points? And what would you say when you see the poor dummy has xxx xxxx xxx xxx? Will you curse your bad luck or try to improve your methods?
That case is far more dangerous than to be "preempted" with 8 points. Not only you would have more trumps, as partner guarantees 4, not only you have more points (lets say 11 from you, and 8 from partner) but these points would be split between the hands, and provide you with vital entries. There's no comparison for your chances of making 2♠.
As for the case that doubler could have only 3 spades, his hand should be good enough to play with a Moisian fit. It's not like partner wouldn't know what is expected from a double, right?
As for the NT just how on earth are you going to explore whether you belong there and at what level if you play it that 1♠ could show absolutely everything short of an opening hand?
I can assure you I am not less worried than you to describe my hand properly. Jamming the opposition is but a side effect, although a welcomed one.
1. As mentioned, the number of times where 1
♥-X-P-? yields a three-card spade suit bid is relatively low. More importantly, the number of times when it yields a three-card spade bid and Opener makes another non-jump call is even lower. I'd rather risk playing a 4-3 fit when Opener rebids something than risk a 3-4 fit immediately. I think the odds of the 7-card fit are higher as an immediate action than they are as a delayed action, primarily because Opener's new call, if he makes one, indicates that his pattern is more distributional than average and, accordingly, that our distribution perforce must be
on average likewise more distributional.
2. The term "preemption" does not literally mean "I have a weak hand." It means that we are preempting ability to make bids at a lower level. A strong 2
♣, with a 2
♦ waiting response, with a 3
♦ rebid by Opener, is quite preemptive. Try6 distinguishing 4-card and 5-card majors in this auction. The question is not whether a call that "preempts" ourselves leads us to a "dangerous" contract. The question is whether the preemption makes it unduly difficult to find the ideal strain and ideal level.
3. How does one explore 3NT after a 1
♠ call? Well, now that's a good question. I suppose that's a real problem, and a great point. I personally do not run into that problem too much, as I have a "solution" that I typically use. A 1NT overcall of a major does not guarantee a stopper. It simply promises strength. With only three spades, something like 3244, I'd overcall 1NT.
If Responder passes 1NT, and the opponents cash a bazillion hearts, such is life.
However, if Responder has a chunky hand, like this one, he would use systems on, with a slight tweak.
Without four spades, but game-ish, he'd "transfer" to hearts (Opener's suit). If I held a minimum with a legitimate stopper, I'd bid 2NT. With a minimum but no legitimate stopper, I'd "accept" the transfer, bidding 2
♥, which is scrambling. With a maximum, I bid 3NT with hearts double-stopped, 3
♥ with hearts single-stopped, or something natural with no heart stop.
With four spades, and game-ish, partner would bid 2
♣. If I have four spades, I bid them. If I have no spade suit, I bid 2
♦. If partner has game interest, he can bid 2NT or 3NT, but 2
♥ would checkback on the heart stop. With a minimum and no stop, I can bid 2
♠ (I must have three spades if I have no stopper). With a minimum and a legitimate stopper, I bid 2NT. With a maximum, I bid 3NT (double stop), 3
♥ (single stop), or a new minor (no stop).
The rare downsides are when we play 1NT and are set and when we wrong-side 3NT. However, this problem is very rare, and it solves a world of hurt.
"Gibberish in, gibberish out. A trial judge, three sets of lawyers, and now three appellate judges cannot agree on what this law means. And we ask police officers, prosecutors, defense lawyers, and citizens to enforce or abide by it? The legislature continues to write unreadable statutes. Gibberish should not be enforced as law."
-P.J. Painter.