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Survey for a friend

Poll: Your guess: (46 member(s) have cast votes)

Your guess:

  1. Forcing (19 votes [41.30%])

    Percentage of vote: 41.30%

  2. Not Forcing (27 votes [58.70%])

    Percentage of vote: 58.70%

Vote Guests cannot vote

#1 User is offline   awm 

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Posted 2008-February-27, 01:01

Careful, this is a four-handed auction:

1 - X - P - 2
P - 2NT - P - 3

Of course the 2NT bid shows something like 19-21. What do you think about 3?

If you have some agreement in a regular partnership about this sequence that differs from what you think is "standard" feel free to comment.
Adam W. Meyerson
a.k.a. Appeal Without Merit
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#2 User is offline   rogerclee 

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Posted 2008-February-27, 01:20

I don't see any huge problem with playing Wolff here, but I think that since the hand is already limited, it may be better not to. Without discussion, I would assume 3 is nonforcing, since it seems more valuable to have a 4-5 minor signoff than some hand which is slammish in clubs, given that I have already limited my hand with 2. I can construct a few hands where presenting 5 as an alternative to 3NT is rational, but I think they are too infrequent to seriously consider.

In general, it may be better to play a system with as many signoffs as possible.
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#3 User is offline   Gerben42 

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Posted 2008-February-27, 02:24

3 shows "Help, we might already be too high".
Two wrongs don't make a right, but three lefts do!
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#4 User is offline   Cascade 

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Posted 2008-February-27, 03:38

We have a general rule that 3minor is non-forcing in this sort of auction but 3Major is forcing.

The rationale is that we are more likely to need to investigate a major fit for game.
Wayne Burrows

I believe that the USA currently hold only the World Championship For People Who Still Bid Like Your Auntie Gladys - dburn
dunno how to play 4 card majors - JLOGIC
True but I know Standard American and what better reason could I have for playing Precision? - Hideous Hog
Bidding is an estimation of probabilities SJ Simon

#5 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2008-February-27, 04:40

Cascade, on Feb 27 2008, 09:38 AM, said:

We have a general rule that 3minor is non-forcing in this sort of auction but 3Major is forcing.

The rationale is that we are more likely to need to investigate a major fit for game.

What if advancer has 5 hearts and no points?
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#6 User is offline   Apollo81 

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Posted 2008-February-27, 09:12

If I had to guess what Standard is I would guess that forcing is Standard. If discussed I usually play that suit non-reverse bids are NF in these situations. No idea which is theoretically superior.
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#7 User is offline   P_Marlowe 

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Posted 2008-February-27, 09:21

Forcing.

3H would be nonforcing.

But give me the right pair of hands and I will surely
agree that it has to be nonforcing.

With kind regards
Marlowe
With kind regards
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
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#8 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2008-February-27, 09:39

This isn't a Wolff situation. Is it really likely a hand that can only make a simple 2 call wants to suddenly go slamming?

Without discussion, I'd say 3 is trying to improve the contract and isn't forcing. Both 3 and 4 are available for max 2 hands.
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#9 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2008-February-27, 10:10

Good one Adam, either option makes some sense and I have never discussed it. Maybe NF is better.
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

- hrothgar
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#10 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2008-February-27, 10:22

Apollo81, on Feb 27 2008, 03:12 PM, said:

If I had to guess what Standard is I would guess that forcing is Standard. If discussed I usually play that suit non-reverse bids are NF in these situations. No idea which is theoretically superior.

There's a trend that rebids the suit with a min and bids something else on the side with a not-so-hopeless hand. I like this.

In this case, a min hand either bids 3 with 5 or passes 2NT with 4 hearts only. A better hand bids 3m and sees if pard can bid 3 with 3 cards now.
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#11 User is offline   mikegill 

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Posted 2008-February-27, 11:07

It seems to me like forcing makes more sense. if you have a terrible hand with 5+ hearts, you can just rebid 3. If you have a terrible balanced hand, you probably just pass and take your medicine in 2n. If you have a terrible hand with 4 hearts and 5 or 6 clubs, then you probably bid 2 not 2, since you want to get to the better part score when you're not worried about game. You could easily have a reasonable hand, say 5-8 with 4 hearts and 5 clubs (or 5 hearts and 4 clubs) that bids 2 since hearts is the most likely game. Now you want to be able to show your clubs and have partner show 3-card heart support, and get you to 4 or even 5 if it's right.
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#12 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2008-February-27, 11:11

mikegill, on Feb 27 2008, 09:07 AM, said:

It seems to me like forcing makes more sense. if you have a terrible hand with 5+ hearts, you can just rebid 3. If you have a terrible balanced hand, you probably just pass and take your medicine in 2n. If you have a terrible hand with 4 hearts and 5 or 6 clubs, then you probably bid 2 not 2, since you want to get to the better part score when you're not worried about game. You could easily have a reasonable hand, say 5-8 with 4 hearts and 5 clubs (or 5 hearts and 4 clubs) that bids 2 since hearts is the most likely game. Now you want to be able to show your clubs and have partner show 3-card heart support, and get you to 4 or even 5 if it's right.

I think the problem here is that rebidding a 5 card suit isn't always wise.

If anything the NT bidder has denied good heart support, . Why would we be forcing ourselves to play a 5-2 here?
"Phil" on BBO
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#13 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2008-February-27, 11:25

pclayton, on Feb 27 2008, 05:11 PM, said:

Why would we be forcing ourselves to play a 5-2 here?

huh??? for the same reason you transfer to the major with a weak hand after a 1NT opener
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#14 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2008-February-27, 11:48

whereagles, on Feb 27 2008, 09:25 AM, said:

pclayton, on Feb 27 2008, 05:11 PM, said:

Why would we be forcing ourselves to play a 5-2 here?

huh??? for the same reason you transfer to the major with a weak hand after a 1NT opener

This is a different situation Nuno.

When you make a transfer, the NT opener's length is unknown. Here, the doubler had an option to raise, or cue, to confirm a heart fit.
"Phil" on BBO
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#15 User is offline   P_Marlowe 

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Posted 2008-February-27, 12:01

pclayton, on Feb 27 2008, 10:39 AM, said:

This isn't a Wolff situation. Is it really likely a hand that can only make a simple 2 call wants to suddenly go slamming?

No, but maybe we are talking about
a hand, which is unsure about the
best game contract.

Afterall the 2NT rebid canceled the promise
of support for all other suits, the 2NT bid
may be based on a hand with only 2 hearts.

With kind regards
Marlowe
With kind regards
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
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#16 User is offline   Apollo81 

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Posted 2008-February-27, 12:06

Apollo81, on Feb 27 2008, 10:12 AM, said:

If I had to guess what Standard is I would guess that forcing is Standard. If discussed I usually play that suit non-reverse bids are NF in these situations. No idea which is theoretically superior.

Contrast this auction with one like (1)-X-(p)-2-(p)-2. Now I think it is clearly better to play 3 as NF since you could bid 2 to GF.
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#17 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2008-February-27, 12:15

pclayton, on Feb 27 2008, 05:48 PM, said:

whereagles, on Feb 27 2008, 09:25 AM, said:

pclayton, on Feb 27 2008, 05:11 PM, said:

Why would we be forcing ourselves to play a 5-2 here?

huh??? for the same reason you transfer to the major with a weak hand after a 1NT opener

This is a different situation Nuno.

When you make a transfer, the NT opener's length is unknown. Here, the doubler had an option to raise, or cue, to confirm a heart fit.

Well, when advancer is broke, even a 5-2 fit usually rolls in more tricks than NT. That's the point.

Besides, if you run a simulation you'll probably find out that pard's heart expectancy is closer to 3 than to 2. Why? Because LHO has 5 spades, giving pard a higher chance to have 3 of those.
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#18 User is offline   Cascade 

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Posted 2008-February-27, 13:49

whereagles, on Feb 27 2008, 11:40 PM, said:

Cascade, on Feb 27 2008, 09:38 AM, said:

We have a general rule that 3minor is non-forcing in this sort of auction but 3Major is forcing.

The rationale is that we are more likely to need to investigate a major fit for game.

What if advancer has 5 hearts and no points?

Pass
Wayne Burrows

I believe that the USA currently hold only the World Championship For People Who Still Bid Like Your Auntie Gladys - dburn
dunno how to play 4 card majors - JLOGIC
True but I know Standard American and what better reason could I have for playing Precision? - Hideous Hog
Bidding is an estimation of probabilities SJ Simon

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Posted 2008-February-27, 14:35

3H would def be NF as responder could just bid 3S with a COG. Responder is allowed to have 6 hearts and no points.

3m is less clear, I think my meta agreements with my partners would make it forcing but I think NF is better.
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#20 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2008-February-27, 15:07

Good problem: I will try to remember to ask my partners this question: I don't know what standard is.

Question: with 2=4=2=5 bust, would we bid 2 or 2?

Certainly, with that hand and a 1 opening, we'd all bid 1. But would we do so over 1, where survival is our immediate goal? After all, in standard advancing methods over a takeout double of 1, 2 is very wide range and thus, because a ten trick game is more attractive than an 11 trick game, 2 is more likely to attract a raise than is 2.

I think that this issue colours the correct approach to the posed question. If we respond 2 with the 4=5 bust, we have significantly reduced the number of hands to which we need to cater, playing 3 as NF.
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