am I crazy?
#1
Posted 2010-April-11, 22:55
Q987642, xx, Qx, Jx (MP)
#3
Posted 2010-April-11, 22:58
I believe that the USA currently hold only the World Championship For People Who Still Bid Like Your Auntie Gladys - dburn
dunno how to play 4 card majors - JLOGIC
True but I know Standard American and what better reason could I have for playing Precision? - Hideous Hog
Bidding is an estimation of probabilities SJ Simon
#4
Posted 2010-April-11, 23:03
Cascade, on Apr 11 2010, 11:58 PM, said:
Does it affect your decision or are you just curious? (just wondering if you would overcall over 1C but not 1H or something).
#5
Posted 2010-April-11, 23:03
Cascade, on Apr 11 2010, 09:58 PM, said:
good question
#6
Posted 2010-April-11, 23:12
#7
Posted 2010-April-11, 23:18
bed
#8
Posted 2010-April-12, 01:45
#9
Posted 2010-April-12, 03:32
I think the hand is too weak red vs. green, and is borderline
at equal vul., so the answer is, it depends.
But after 1H, you also have the opportunity to bid 1S.
With kind regards
Marlowe
PS: The above does not really take MP into account, playing MP
it also depends on the field, I think the risk getting Xed in a average
field is low, so ..., but playing in a high end field, the risk is higher,
although than you may be able to get away with it anyway, once in
a while, because they would assume a stronger hand.
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
#10
Posted 2010-April-12, 04:29
Would not bid 1♠ under any circumstances.
#11
Posted 2010-April-12, 04:46
Jlall, on Apr 12 2010, 06:03 PM, said:
Cascade, on Apr 11 2010, 11:58 PM, said:
Does it affect your decision or are you just curious? (just wondering if you would overcall over 1C but not 1H or something).
Kathryn said overcall rather than jump overcall so I wondered whether this was over 1NT or something at the two-level.
But probably mostly I was curious.
The suit opened makes some difference.
If I was xx in the suit opened then I would be more inclined than when I am Qx in the suit opened. I would also be more inclined over a minor opening which could be short than over a more precisely defined 1♥ showing a five-card suit.
I suspect at MPs where frequency is more important than the size of any potential disaster that this is close depending on whether hearts or a minor is opened and whether or not the opponents are vulnerable.
It may even be ok at any vulnerability. A simulation suggested that there were 7+ tricks more than 55-60% of the time. Given that the opponents will not catch us every time we are wrong that bidding could easily work often enough.
I believe that the USA currently hold only the World Championship For People Who Still Bid Like Your Auntie Gladys - dburn
dunno how to play 4 card majors - JLOGIC
True but I know Standard American and what better reason could I have for playing Precision? - Hideous Hog
Bidding is an estimation of probabilities SJ Simon
#12
Posted 2010-April-12, 06:58
George Carlin
#13
Posted 2010-April-12, 07:10
"gwnn" said:
hanp does not always mean literally what he writes.
#14
Posted 2010-April-12, 07:15
Maybe 1S at nil. I don't see what the upshot is though.
#15
Posted 2010-April-12, 07:17
vuroth, on Apr 12 2010, 01:10 PM, said:
bidding 1S over 1H is the single most profitable action at bridge, it has more upsides than doubling 7NT with AK when you are on lead.
George Carlin
#16
Posted 2010-April-12, 07:34
Cascade, on Apr 12 2010, 05:46 AM, said:
Not sure that statistic provides enough information to conclude that.
It does seem to argue against bidding at the 2 level (no surprise) because 40-45% of the time we make 6 or fewer tricks, and presumably some of the time we make 7 or 8 tricks partner has raised, and we are making our 7 or 8 tricks in 4♠X.
#17
Posted 2010-April-12, 07:35
vuroth, on Apr 12 2010, 08:10 AM, said:
Well, doesn't it depend on your attitude towards bidding? If you feel that passing is always the default action, you only bid when you have a hand that is ideal for bidding. If you want to be bidding as often as possible, you will often bid with hands that have some flaw. And, it is not just a cliche, bridge really is a bidder's game.
On this particular hand, overcalling vulnerable at the 2 level is very risky - with no tricks, you will often go for a number. So if you do want to bid (and you do have seven spades), 1♠ offers a compromise between the friendly pass and the suicidal jump overcall.
#18
Posted 2010-April-12, 08:17
1♥ (2♠) 3♦ (P)
3♥ (P) 4♥* I need to find a better bid here.
Surprisingly, or not, the 2♠ overcall was made at several (BBO) tables, I think it is horrid.
#19
Posted 2010-April-12, 08:21
#20
Posted 2010-April-12, 08:30
jillybean, on Apr 12 2010, 09:17 AM, said:
1♥ (2♠) 3♦ (P)
3♥ (P) 4♥* I need to find a better bid here.
Surprisingly, or not, the 2♠ overcall was made at several (BBO) tables, I think it is horrid.
The alternative to 4H is 3S.
You did create a gf with 3D, since you are have a very control rich
hand, you should make a move toward slam.
3S should agree heart, it is not clear, if 3S is already a cue, that
depends partially on the meaning of 4C, if 4C is natural, i.e. showes
a two suiter, than 3S is just a general force, and may not be a cue.
With kind regards
Marlowe
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)

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