Posted 2010-August-10, 07:34
For 4-1?
K♠ ducked.
Q♠ draws the ace.
- diamond return ruff, force J♠, ruff another diamond. Draw trump. Make 4♠s, 2♣s, 4♥s
- same with club and heart returns really. I don't fear a ruff, and they can't get rid of my heart entry to dummy to claim my 4th heart.
For 5-0?
If the K♠ is covered, I'm fine, because the one thing I fear is a diamond tap, and LHO can't tap me in diamonds on trick 3 as I can ruff on the board (and cross safely to my hand, as RHO's bidding seems to preclude a void in LHO).
If the K♠ is ducked, I have to avoid losing AJ♠ and another ♠. If I try to continue drawing trumps, LHO's jack is immediately promoted. If he exits ♦s twice, he'll have longer ♠s than me and I'm down 1. If I try to run ♥s and make him shorten his trumps, he'll win a low ♠ trick, and now I need to avoid losing to the J♠. That would seem to involve an endplay in trump, with with his 5-6 ♦s I have no chance at endplaying him.
Still decidedly intermediate - don't take my guesses as authoritative.
"gwnn" said:
rule number 1 in efficient forum reading:
hanp does not always mean literally what he writes.
Lead ♦T. Contract 4♠ doubled.