Any bids of South that you don't agree with?
Bidding to 6D
#2
Posted 2011-December-07, 04:58
#3
Posted 2011-December-07, 05:56
#4
Posted 2011-December-07, 06:00
#5
Posted 2011-December-07, 06:24
South chose the limited 3D bid (correctly IMO), North chose 5D, and South decided North was wrong. I have no idea what North actually held, but even if 6D makes that aint the way to bid.
#6
Posted 2011-December-07, 06:59
aguahombre, on 2011-December-07, 06:24, said:
South chose the limited 3D bid (correctly IMO), North chose 5D, and South decided North was wrong. I have no idea what North actually held, but even if 6D makes that aint the way to bid.
Well since 6♦ is good opposite the right 3 count (stiff heart which is very likely, ♣QJ), it's not unreasonable for partner not to have appreciated how good his hand is.
6♦ is a punt, but I suspect it's going to make a lot more often than it fails. Is partner going to realise how good Jxxx, x, xxx, AQxxx is for example and this is a fine grand. Yes he might have ♠KJxxx, ♦Q, ♣Q and the slam might be poor, but I think it's good a lot more often.
#7
Posted 2011-December-07, 07:15
aguahombre, on 2011-December-07, 06:24, said:
South chose the limited 3D bid (correctly IMO), North chose 5D, and South decided North was wrong. I have no idea what North actually held, but even if 6D makes that aint the way to bid.
Given that South can see 8 top tricks in a 3NT contract, it is likely that 5♦ will lead to a poor score (~20%) at MPs. I am willing to invest those 20% to try and get an 85% board. If it goes wrong, I have lost 20% (max). If it goes well, I am winning 65%. Therefore, I would estimate that it would be right to bid 6♦ if it makes 1 times in 4.
You are correct that bidding like this is not a thing of beauty, but, then again, MP bidding rarely is.
Rik (IMP freak)
The most exciting phrase to hear in science, the one that heralds the new discoveries, is not Eureka! (I found it!), but Thats funny Isaac Asimov
The only reason God did not put "Thou shalt mind thine own business" in the Ten Commandments was that He thought that it was too obvious to need stating. - Kenberg
#8
Posted 2011-December-07, 07:20
#9
Posted 2011-December-07, 07:37
When South bid 3♦, he didn't know how many hearts or diamonds were opposite, but now he knows that partner is likely to be 1-3 in the reds. He also had good reason to expect spade wastage, but that risk is reduced a bit.
Is that enough to justify 6♦? It needs something like AQxxx x Qxx Qxxx or AKxxx x Qxx xxxx to make 6♦ almost cold. Kxxxx x Qxx QJxx would also do, but it's unreasonable to hope for a fitting jack.
If I were the 3♦ bidder, I could have had x Axx AKJxxx xxx or worse, so I'd consider that I had a lot extra and I'd bid 6♦. If your 3♦ promises more, maybe responder would have bid 4♥ with my first two examples, so pass is enough.
#10
Posted 2011-December-07, 07:57
Andy all your examples contain a "wastage" in the form of ♦Q, partner can have ♦xxx,♣A and singleton heart and there you go, 12 tricks on diamonds 2-1.
Even some hands with 2 diamonds are good enough for slam to roll home.
In fact I think that we should try 5♥ rather than 6♦, after all we are limited by 3♦ so partner can´t go crazy. We might hear the magical 6♣ opposite. We don´t even totally need the heart stiff (♠Jxxx ♥xx ♦Qx ♣AQxxx). Althou this is a hand from wonderland.
#11
Posted 2011-December-07, 09:52
So, again, we are discussing what to do with different frames of reference.
#12
Posted 2011-December-07, 10:11
#13
Posted 2011-December-07, 10:17
aguahombre, on 2011-December-07, 09:52, said:
So, again, we are discussing what to do with different frames of reference.
2NT iso 3D would have been natural.
#14
Posted 2011-December-07, 10:20
gnasher, on 2011-December-07, 10:11, said:
The point was that my "vote" and strong wording against 6D was influenced by the thought that I had shown more strength previously, which perhaps I hadn't. 6D looks a lot better if good/bad wasn't possible.
#16
Posted 2011-December-07, 14:59
It is obvious to bid over 5D for the reasons stated. Not bidding 5H is lazy. We are limited by our 3D bid, our hand cannot be better. If partner cooperates with trying for 7 by bidding 6C, I think it is likely percentage to bid 7. Remember, we are limited by 3D, partner does not have to cooperate by bidding 6C when he has the ace. Even if you are too worried about the third round of clubs to bid 7 over 6C, it is possible for partner to just jump to 7 over 5H which will certainly be right, or to bid 5S-5N-7D or something. The lead is very unlikely to matter, so I am not worried about giving away info.
#17
Posted 2011-December-07, 15:00
#18
Posted 2011-December-07, 15:16
#19
Posted 2011-December-08, 02:07
JLOGIC, on 2011-December-07, 14:59, said:
It is obvious to bid over 5D for the reasons stated. Not bidding 5H is lazy. We are limited by our 3D bid, our hand cannot be better. If partner cooperates with trying for 7 by bidding 6C, I think it is likely percentage to bid 7. Remember, we are limited by 3D, partner does not have to cooperate by bidding 6C when he has the ace. Even if you are too worried about the third round of clubs to bid 7 over 6C, it is possible for partner to just jump to 7 over 5H which will certainly be right, or to bid 5S-5N-7D or something. The lead is very unlikely to matter, so I am not worried about giving away info.
I wasn't sure if 3NT would show this hand or if partner would take it like that. Without the 2H, 3NT would be 4cS and 18-19 for us. But probably after 2H it should be to play. I'll clarify this with my partner.
JLOGIC, on 2011-December-07, 15:00, said:
..And I agree that 5H (after the limiting 3D) is a better bid then 6D.
#20
Posted 2011-December-08, 02:10
Cyberyeti, on 2011-December-07, 15:16, said:
In our methods 2♠=5c♠&4c♦ and weak (6-9); 2♦=6c♠ weak (4-7).
He could have lied a little and have chosen both of these if he wanted.