Opponents silent. How should the bidding go?
3NT or 5m?
#1
Posted 2010-August-04, 05:40
Opponents silent. How should the bidding go?
"gwnn" said:
hanp does not always mean literally what he writes.
#2
Posted 2010-August-04, 06:37
-gwnn
#3
Posted 2010-August-04, 08:35
If this is a standard preempt in your partnership:
x
xx
xxx
KJTxxxx
Then where would you want to play the hand?
Quite frankly, with the hand given, 3NT is a downright silly contract, and 5♣ is not the greatest contract ever seen (it is certainly a reasonable contract). But you might get a favorable opening lead or a lucky lie of the cards to make.
With my regular partner, we cannot open this hand 3♣ as we have an unusual agreement that a 3 of a minor opening in 1st or 2nd seat shows a suit headed by AQ or AK or better. So we might get to 5♣ by having South open the bidding.
#4
Posted 2010-August-04, 08:55
Winner - BBO Challenge bracket #6 - February, 2017.
#5
Posted 2010-August-04, 09:04
"gwnn" said:
hanp does not always mean literally what he writes.
#6
Posted 2010-August-04, 09:30
#7
Posted 2010-August-04, 09:34
jdonn, on Aug 4 2010, 10:30 AM, said:
this gets my vote
the Freman, Chani from the move "Dune"
"I learned long ago, never to wrestle with a pig. You get dirty, and besides, the pig likes it."
George Bernard Shaw
#8
Posted 2010-August-04, 09:39
Thanks.
W
"gwnn" said:
hanp does not always mean literally what he writes.
#9
Posted 2010-August-04, 09:39
#10
Posted 2010-August-04, 09:44
jdonn, on Aug 4 2010, 10:30 AM, said:
Eh, didn't notice we were in 2nd seat so change me to 3(edit)♣.
Making 10 tricks in NT seems dubious, even if pard has a better suit and seems break-even at best with 5♣, so change me to 3♣ - pass - 5♣.
Winner - BBO Challenge bracket #6 - February, 2017.
#11
Posted 2010-August-04, 10:14
#12
Posted 2010-August-04, 14:58
vuroth, on Aug 4 2010, 10:04 AM, said:
So how many defending pairs failed to hold up the ♣A?
-gwnn
#13
Posted 2010-August-04, 15:08
#14
Posted 2010-August-04, 15:38
billw55, on Aug 4 2010, 03:58 PM, said:
vuroth, on Aug 4 2010, 10:04 AM, said:
So how many defending pairs failed to hold up the ♣A?
maybe not so much a failure as an inability to hold up.
the Freman, Chani from the move "Dune"
"I learned long ago, never to wrestle with a pig. You get dirty, and besides, the pig likes it."
George Bernard Shaw
#15
Posted 2010-August-04, 15:49
If partner has the King-Queen, 3NT is likely down without even a prayer.
Even when partner has the Ace, things can go seriously wrong.
Compare this with an insane blast to 6♣. Now, if the clubs come in for seven tricks, you are on a hook at worst for 12 tricks. If the clubs come in for six tricks, slam still might be made, and perhaps even on pure power.
-P.J. Painter.
#16
Posted 2010-August-04, 19:10
#17
Posted 2010-August-05, 02:23
#18
Posted 2010-August-05, 04:19
If clubs are worth 7 tricks then 3NT wins, fine. In the more likely instance clubs are worth 6 tricks then 5C feels like a very superior contract to me whilst 3NT will really struggle.
#19
Posted 2010-August-05, 04:55
Fluffy, on Aug 5 2010, 03:23 AM, said:
I don't open those in second seat as this case is, but a valid question for 1st.
Quote
It is not shocking to find out that partner has no entry and your clubs cannot run, it is what is expected.
Agreed, the only time you seriously lose in 5C is if partner has opened 3♣ on 6 solid where 3N makes at least +1 all the time (and 5C is not guaranteed to make).
Of course you're taking a reasonable gamble in 3N opposite AQJxxxx but are dead in the water opposite KQJxxxx most of the time. At pairs you may have a very tricky decision opposite AKxxxxx on a heart lead.
#20
Posted 2010-August-05, 06:19
Cyberyeti, on Aug 5 2010, 05:55 AM, said:
Quote
Is it really that certain that north has no entry? Looking at the south cards, it seems like there are several side cards north might hold that could become an entry. ♦Q, ♠K and ♥K are locks. ♥Qx(x) and ♠Jx(x) have chances. Also north might hold ♣AK or AQJ, or KQ(J) and A is stiff. Heck, even on the actual hand ♥Jxx is 25% for LHO to hold KQ. Adding all that up, I was sure that the clubs run more than 50% of the time, and this is matchpoints after all.
Is there some rule that non-vul preempts are barred from having an outside honor card? Would you bid 1♣ with the north hand plus a major suit king? Some would, but some would not. How about the ♦Q?
-gwnn

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