sound minor openings
#1
Posted 2022-July-29, 14:48
♠ Axx
♥ x
♦ Kxxx
♣ Axxxx
♠ x
♥ Axx
♦ Axxxx
♣ Kxxx
If no opponent has a void, it is laydown for five of either minor.
If no opponent has a singleton, it is laydown for seven of either minor.
Someone has to open, right?
I posed this years ago to the Kaplan-Sheinwold newsgroup, where "sound minor openings" are doctrine. One contributor said this is not a sound opening, so I'll pay off. No one defended opening.
What do you think?
#2
Posted 2022-July-29, 15:05
#3
Posted 2022-July-29, 15:06
If I were in fourth seat with the second hand, then there is a chance that partner has the absolute perfect cards and we're cold for game.. and there is also a chance that the final contract will end in the opponents making some number of spades. The question is not whether the first chance exists.. but which is more likely?
Of course, some people will open every 11 point hand, and that's fine too.
#4
Posted 2022-July-29, 15:09
smerriman, on 2022-July-29, 15:06, said:
If I were in fourth seat with the second hand, then there is a chance that partner has the absolute perfect cards and we're cold for game.. and there is also a chance that the final contract will end in the opponents making some number of spades. The question is not whether the first chance exists.. but which is more likely?
Of course, some people will open every 11 point hand, and that's fine too.
These are not every 11 point hand. That is the point.
#5
Posted 2022-July-29, 15:21
bluenikki, on 2022-July-29, 14:48, said:
What do you think?
I think the contributors in the KS newsgroup are beancounters.
#6
Posted 2022-July-29, 15:23
bluenikki, on 2022-July-29, 15:09, said:
Right - your post sounded like the fact you can make game/slam was relevant to whether you should open, where it's not really the important aspect at all. If you provided just one hand and asked whether you should open, that's a better question. (And I would, but not in 4th seat.)
#8
Posted 2022-July-29, 18:45
smerriman, on 2022-July-29, 15:23, said:
It is not a double dummy issue! They are the same hand.
If your partner is going to pass this hand out in 4th, doesn't that mean you must open it in 2nd?
#10
Posted 2022-July-30, 03:27
Cyberyeti, on 2022-July-30, 00:33, said:
Like Cyberyeti I'd certainly open the South hand every time. Not so keen on North because I have to rebid 2♣ with an empty suit. Make it A109xx and I'm opening that too (except 4th).
#11
Posted 2022-July-30, 04:11
#13
Posted 2022-July-30, 16:13
They pay off to these hands because if they don't, when it goes 1♦-1♠-whatever-3♠, what does opener do? Pass, I assume; after which they are likely to have their best score end in 30. And even if it's this hand and they can make something, it probably will go p-p-X-AP anyway. After all, minimum 11 though it is, it's got 2+ tricks; and if you pull with 2+ tricks from +500 into a minus score because you're embarrassed about your opening, partner is very likely to mutter something about "I could save you from your first mistake..."
This is one of the places where an Acol-style weak NT system wins over the K/S style. But being able to assume a strong NT in opener's hand after 1m-1M-whatever-3M wins a lot, too.
I would absolutely pay off to this hand in my K/S system, and smile and go on to the next. Knowing that three other hands this session my partner or I will be having a much easier auction than the rest of the room.
Note: a very dirty simulation implies that the opponents are only passing this out about 30% of the time, less than that if we're not dealer. Now whether third hand will do anything over second hand's preempt is a question for the ages; whether -100 or 200 in 3 of whichever major they decide to play in is going to be worth it (and whether we can get all our tricks in 3M, given that I'm sure it involves other major to the A, ruff, minor to partner (underleading either the A or the K), ruff, and then take as many aces and kings will cash after that) is also a question for the ages. But those who do open these hands have to find that defence a whole bunch of the time too, with -x30 hanging over their head if they don't.
#14
Posted 2022-July-30, 19:07
While there are a few ‘sound’ bidders, especially at unfavourable, the great majority of experts strain to open the bidding. These hands have 5 controls! I can’t imagine passing any hand with five controls…and a losing trick count of 7. Both check the boxes I use to assess openings with fewer than 12 hcp…although in both my current partnerships we open virtually all 11 counts in 1st and second.
Would we reach slam? I doubt it. Would we reach game? Probably….and definitely if the bidding begins with 1D.
Whether we’d open 1D with the 3=1=4=5 is debatable. Both my partners would, I think, but I’d be reluctant. Since 1ad promises 4+ and is always unbalanced, the 3=1=5=4 hand will dribble to game.
I’d be ok with missing slam.
Of course the opponents will often be bidding with their 18 hcp and 18 major suit cards….heck, that might even make it easier to reach game.
#15
Posted 2022-July-30, 20:04
Yeah partner might expect more from me and we'll end up in some impossible 4 level contract when the opponents jump in. Too bad. Sometimes those impossible contracts make.
#17
Posted 2022-August-01, 02:00
I may pass the 1st, but I would open the 2nd, the main difference is,
the 2nd has a rebid.
With kind regards
Marlowe
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)